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Following the recent speculation about David Miliband being in contention for the EU Foreign Ministers job, called in true Hapsburg Empire fashion by the title “Most High Representative”, he has let it be known that he is not interested and instead promoted Tony Blair as an appropriate candidate for becoming the first EU President.

Blair can hardly be considered a viable candidate for the post for a whole number of reasons, the events of the Iraq War being just one among many followed by his inability to “deliver” the UK to total subservience to Brussels or even, entry into the Euro Zone so he is out.

A Game of Consequences

To me the oddest thing about the EU with the contrivance of the Labour Government, was that in suppressing democracy and Referendums, they have merely hastened their own end.

David Cameron’s promise to hold a Referendum if Lisbon has not been ratified, is unlikely to be put to the test because Labour won’t give us a General Election until next year, the Treaty will be ratified by then. The problem for all then lies in “…I will not let it rest there…”

Given that no previous British Parliament may tie the hands of a subsequent one, Cameron’s only choice will be to offer the British Public a referendum on IN or OUT so that in the end, all will turn out as it should.

The trouble with the EU is that they don’t know what a democratic process or election is. In fact, when it comes to Referendums, they don’t know what they are either, they think that they are exam papers and if you don’t give them the “right answer”, you have to do it again and again until you get it right.

Even Gordon Brown has caught this disease, he doesn’t like elections either. Wouldn’t run against Blair for the Leadership of the Labour Party, wouldn’t face a contested Leadership election when Blair stood down, ran away from a 2007 Election he would have won and will cling on to the last minute before calling a General Election next year, providing of course he can’t find some “Emergency Powers” to prolong the Parliament !

Back to Miliband

The trouble with people like Miliband as became painfully clear in his interview today, is that they are just not bright enough to understand the basics, any nation in a global sense relies for influence on a combination of economic and military potential. The EU lacks the unity to strut on the world stage and even the majority of those NATO members as demonstrated in Afghanistan, are risk averse so no one will take the EU seriously.

The EU has common cultural roots, Ancient Greece, Roman Empire and Christianity but the fact that there are so many individual nations that remain “whole” over time and through many wars, of itself shows that a United Europe is impossible, central Europe became “Balkanised” a long time ago and as the Iron Curtain crumbled, old boundaries re-established themselves so, time to move on.

The UK Will Leave

As I think that the EU is not a suitable organisation for us in the UK to be too closely associated with, I couldn’t give a “monkey’s” who becomes the President of the EU but Blair is a joke candidate. Also in fairness, how could you possibly justify any UK citizen having a top job in the EU anyway given the fact that we are most likely to leave it sooner or later ?

Because Brown sold us down the river over the European Constitution or Lisbon Treaty, we must accept that by the time we have a General Election, the thing will be fully ratified. The consequence is that if Cameron “…won’t let it rest there…” is true and given that the Lisbon Treaty includes a leaving routine, all that he will be able to offer the British Electorate is a referendum on IN or OUT which given our current economic circumstances and the EU being unable to “bribe” us, is likely to result in an OUT vote. The one good thing being that as it would be a British Referendum, we would be saved all those re-runs until we produce the “Right Answer”.

The EU President

But coming back to the EU President and “Most High Representative”, the EU does not need high profile candidates. One of the key differences between the UK and the EU broadly is that the major Continental countries are content to be run by public technocrats, that wonderful French phrase, “Functionaries” rather than politicians, they seem to trust the former more than the latter.

What the EU requires are people from a very “Pro EU” background and a Country that too is pro EU and who understand from experience just how the Brussels and Inter-Governmental machine works. Neither post requires a “Leader”, they require very good “Negotiators” capable of trying to get a consensus view from each member State. It is likely that they should not come from either France, Germany, Italy and certainly not the UK, smaller countries such as Finland, Netherlands, Irish Republic or Luxembourg (if it still exists), might have suitable candidates.