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The Times seems to be sucking a fart out of Brown’s arse these days, Lord knows why except one suspects that the “Sun” having come out for the Tories, Murdoch thinks it ‘politic’ to have one of his titles backing Brown just in case he wins, on such cynicism is Murdoch’s reputation built.

The question is; “What would happen if Brown actually won ?” Whilst a totally horrible thought, there would be some serious implications for both the Nation and the Labour Party.

The Basic Background

We need to start with what is accepted as a rather simple fact of life today:

Whoever wins the election will have to impose the same solutions, the same cuts in public sector jobs, tax increases and cuts in what are, expected ‘free services’ delivered to the public as any other ‘Government’.

The Labour Win Scenario

There is a view that having been responsible for creating this mess, there would be a degree of poetic justice in Labour and specifically having made the mess over 13 years, Gordon Brown as both Chancellor and Prime Minister, is very much personally responsible and implicated in the failure so, he and his Cabinet colleagues should have to clean it up publicly and accept the humiliation that goes with it.

However there is also a downside to that too. Brown would only last long enough as PM to implement the ‘policies’, once he has started the process so that he personally is seen as responsible for both it and the many lies he told before, he would be forced to resign “in the interests of the Labour Movement”. However and especially as the Labour Party is so bereft of talent to replace Brown, otherwise it would have done so long since, it would destroy itself in the following process and another General Election would follow within 24 months, if not sooner.

The public would be unforgiving, the Labour Party would shrink to its Celtic heartlands, at best but no longer be a National Party or, capable in future generations to contend for Government in its own right.

A Hung Parliament

An even worse scenario is a “Hung Parliament” because whether it led to a “minority” Government (the largest number of seats), dependent on overall support from the House, measure by measure or a “formal coalition” between say the LibDems and Labour or, the LibDems and the Conservatives it would leave ALL Political Parties mired, damned and potentially our whole democratic system at some risk.

In such a situation and following on from the furore over MPs Expenses, it might well that regardless of political party, it becomes seen as the Electorate vs All MPs, just not a very good scenario.

For Gordon Brown, it will be better for his longer term reputation if he loses, posterity will be kinder to him remembering his decisive action over supporting the Banks rather than the foolish fiscal policies he followed up until then. So for him, his family and the Labour Party, far better he loses because if he won, he would be ousted in disgrace anyway and and ‘good’ he ever did, buried along with his reputation.

The Best Result

The only sane solution is to let Cameron win with a working majority, even for Dave, this would be a good election to lose, for Brown winning it would be a disaster that may leave him facing an appointment with a lamp post in Whitehall, from which to swing by the neck within the next 24 months.