The Problems of Change

Last year Mckinsey & Company issued an interesting study on the impacts of automation on the global economy, the following is a direct link to where you can download the PDFs: https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/future-of-organizations-and-work/what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages

For an effective summary of the main thrust of that report, The Verge does a pretty good job: https://www.theverge.com/2017/11/30/16719092/automation-robots-jobs-global-800-million-forecast Continue Reading →

The Sound of Silence

Although at the root of it are two very different “past politicians” vying for some kind of relevancy in today’s world, they have formed an interesting conjunction with a perhaps unexpected result. Tony Blair insisting that with him in the frame, in a second referendum on the EU the British electorate will have come to their senses and vote for remain. Nigel Farage bored with not being the centre of attention any more, would welcome the opportunity to fight a second referendum.

Of course and despite the ardent desires of Remainers like the FT, The Economist, Blair, Clegg, Miller and the like, the possibility of another referendum has been greeted with total silence by the electorate. Continue Reading →

Revolution in the UK Economy Part 2

This is a second part to my thinking about the future direction of the UK economy and just as I touched on the NHS in my previous post, in this I will be using the Armed Forces as the basis of looking into the future. Rather like the NHS, the Armed Forces combine expensive hardware and the need for considerable manpower and all paid from tax payer funds.

Unlike the NHS though, armed forces spending is constantly being squeezed and budgets are always under extreme pressure but there is a problem with that because the forces need to combine being a deterrent to potential aggressors with always being action ready so there is only so much cutting that can be done. Continue Reading →

Revolution in the UK Economy Part 1

One of the most interesting things about the Labour Party under Corbyn is how it has reverted to a world view based upon Marxist principles including public ownership of the ‘means of production and distribution’. Whilst this is in part a knee jerk reaction in trying to distance themselves from Blair and New Labour, it is also quite amusing in that it totally misses the point that there may be the case for State intervention but it certainly won’t be as they imagine it.

In fact before deciding on policies, they would be best first discussing the role of the State in a modern society rather than 100 years ago, where it has both a place and a duty to intervene plus where it does not and should never interfere. This is the first part of a two part post where I am musing about possible futures. Continue Reading →

Overturning the Result

Some days ago The Independent newspaper ran an editorial and a number of associated articles which were calling for a second referendum on Brexit. Despite the many protestations in this editorial, it was exactly what it said it wasn’t and is a total disgrace because behind it all lies the arrogant assumption that those who voted to leave the EU were both ignorant and stupid.

At its heart is an unwillingness to accept the majority decision and that is unacceptable because first past the post is the system we live under and secondly, if the majority had been for Remain, they wouldn’t accept a second referendum either. Continue Reading →

Division is in Our DNA

Although it is exasperated by the ongoing dramas of Brexit negotiations with the EU the most noticeable thing about our leaving the EU is the amount of passionate divisions the Leave result has left within the UK body politic some 17 months after the event. Those who voted Remain still haven’t accepted the result to Leave and the ‘Leavers’ don’t accept that there won’t be backsliding so that in some way, we never get to actually leave the EU !

It is all rather odd, yet if you stop and think about it and especially with an eye to our history, this very sharp division in opinion is not unusual on Britain in fact it seems to be in our very DNA. Continue Reading →

Armistice Day 2017

I take my turn at the local Catholic Church to do the readings at mass and prefer to go to the Saturday evening mass rather than Sunday morning one. This Saturday was my turn and it also happened to be the 99th anniversary of the 1918 Armistice, the 11th hour of the 11th day… Both during and at the end of mass there were specific references and prayers related to Remembrance Sunday. Especially nice the hymn “For those in peril on the sea” and after a chorus of “God Save the Queen” we finished with “Jerusalem” !

This bought to mind many people like my Irish Grandfather who fought with the Dublin Fusiliers during WW1 and especially my own Father who served in the Royal Engineers throughout WWII. Continue Reading →

Can We Avoid Calamities ?

This piece is another about change and how we can prepare ourselves and society for it in such a way as to make people feel that the inevitable burdens imposed by it are being fairly shared by one and all. However one the biggest challenges during such times will always come from those with a vested interest in the status quo because and inevitably, rather than seeing themselves as the Luddite obstructors they are, they will portray themselves as “up holding standards” for society in whatever field they happen to be from.

Britain is an evolutionary rather than a revolutionary country but never the less, major changes have too often only been accepted by our society only as the result of calamities. Continue Reading →

How Not to Do It

Whilst the Catalan referendum on independence was illegal and a bit of a stunt, it is totally clear that the way the Spanish Government handled it was amazingly stupid as well as very violent, this is certainly not the way to handle these kinds of situations.

I am not sure about how the Latin temperament handles and processes these conflicts but highly emotionally seems to be the answer just like the Junta in Argentine and the Falklands war, it is a case of rash actions having negative longer term consequences so why do it in the first place ? Continue Reading →

A Total Failure But…

I know it is positively absurd to quote oneself but last November after Trump won the White House I did write a piece about it: http://baldysblog.co.uk/2016/11/09/trump-wins-the-oval-office/ and I ended it with the following which is worth repeating as we move forward :

“In the end, Trump may well surprise us all and get positive change going both at home and abroad, let’s hope so even though there must be a suspicion that he is likely to be just another windbag. Either way he is now on the big stage, it is now time for him to perform…” Continue Reading →