The Problems of Change

Last year Mckinsey & Company issued an interesting study on the impacts of automation on the global economy, the following is a direct link to where you can download the PDFs: https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/future-of-organizations-and-work/what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages

For an effective summary of the main thrust of that report, The Verge does a pretty good job: https://www.theverge.com/2017/11/30/16719092/automation-robots-jobs-global-800-million-forecast Continue Reading →

Revolution in the UK Economy Part 2

This is a second part to my thinking about the future direction of the UK economy and just as I touched on the NHS in my previous post, in this I will be using the Armed Forces as the basis of looking into the future. Rather like the NHS, the Armed Forces combine expensive hardware and the need for considerable manpower and all paid from tax payer funds.

Unlike the NHS though, armed forces spending is constantly being squeezed and budgets are always under extreme pressure but there is a problem with that because the forces need to combine being a deterrent to potential aggressors with always being action ready so there is only so much cutting that can be done. Continue Reading →

Revolution in the UK Economy Part 1

One of the most interesting things about the Labour Party under Corbyn is how it has reverted to a world view based upon Marxist principles including public ownership of the ‘means of production and distribution’. Whilst this is in part a knee jerk reaction in trying to distance themselves from Blair and New Labour, it is also quite amusing in that it totally misses the point that there may be the case for State intervention but it certainly won’t be as they imagine it.

In fact before deciding on policies, they would be best first discussing the role of the State in a modern society rather than 100 years ago, where it has both a place and a duty to intervene plus where it does not and should never interfere. This is the first part of a two part post where I am musing about possible futures. Continue Reading →

Can We Avoid Calamities ?

This piece is another about change and how we can prepare ourselves and society for it in such a way as to make people feel that the inevitable burdens imposed by it are being fairly shared by one and all. However one the biggest challenges during such times will always come from those with a vested interest in the status quo because and inevitably, rather than seeing themselves as the Luddite obstructors they are, they will portray themselves as “up holding standards” for society in whatever field they happen to be from.

Britain is an evolutionary rather than a revolutionary country but never the less, major changes have too often only been accepted by our society only as the result of calamities. Continue Reading →

Post October EU Summit

I must confess to a growing admiration for Theresa May because however desirable and irresistible to a politician the“Top Job” may be, to have it under the circumstances she has to shoulder must be a less than a stellar experience for her and her husband, they both must have some steel in them.

Typical of the problems she has to face is illustrated by a rather sneering article in The Economist: https://www.economist.com/news/europe/21730529-europes-leaders-offer-theresa-may-qualified-support-they-want-britains-money-britain-seeks Continue Reading →

A Total Failure But…

I know it is positively absurd to quote oneself but last November after Trump won the White House I did write a piece about it: http://baldysblog.co.uk/2016/11/09/trump-wins-the-oval-office/ and I ended it with the following which is worth repeating as we move forward :

“In the end, Trump may well surprise us all and get positive change going both at home and abroad, let’s hope so even though there must be a suspicion that he is likely to be just another windbag. Either way he is now on the big stage, it is now time for him to perform…” Continue Reading →

Another Terror Attack

Today Sunday after another brutal terrorist attack, this time around London Bridge last night, many different people will be living with very varied thoughts and fears along with some understandable anger but as ever, it is a time for cool heads and sober judgements.

Theresa May in her statement following a COBRA meeting this morning was quite right to say “Enough is enough” and that a totally new approach is needed because the type of threat has changed. Continue Reading →

Destroying a Brand

Born at the end of 1945, I do not come from a computer literate generation and therefore took some 3-4 years out of my working life in my 40s to learn about Information Technology. In this sense I was eager to learn and took every opportunity to attend lectures and talks that would broaden my knowledge even though sometimes I barely understood the topic properly. In time it did all come together and led me to a new career in IT.

There was one talk I attended that had this opening statement: “There are only two kinds of people in this world, those who have lost data and those who are going to !” Continue Reading →

The Penny Hasn’t Dropped Yet

There is an article in this weeks Economist concerning the job threats of automation to retail workers in the USA. It is a reasonable article but what struck me most about it was its narrowness of view and a failure to grasp the broader, wider implications and realise that this applies right across the global economy and will impact far more than just retail jobs. It will inevitably impinge upon not just the way businesses run but how society reorders itself to deal with the economic consequences.

http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21722020-shopping-mall-not-factory-where-american-jobs-are-most-risk-how-prepare Continue Reading →

President Macron’s Problems

The second round of the French Presidential election has run its predictable course and France now has a President Macron in no small part to people voting to keep Marine Le Pen out plus more than the 11 million who voted for her, either abstaining or spoiling their ballot papers. These elections have often in the past delivered a winner by default rather than a President seen as the “man for all of France” and this is really where the problems begin.

Equally of no surprise, along with a huge sigh of relief in Brussels, The Economist penned a ‘joyful article: http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21721808-mr-macron-who-never-previously-stood-election-faces-divided-country-and-heavy Continue Reading →