Probably the Right Move

Theresa May’s announcement that she would seek a vote in Parliament to call a snap general election is probably the right move on a number of important levels and especially with regard to the Brexit negotiations. Regardless of the opinion polls which show a huge margin over Labour, if in the end she can increase her majority to 30/40 seats in the House of Commons, she will be far better placed both domestically and in Brussels to deliver a good deal for both sides.

Of course, a landslide victory is unlikely given the partisan nature of politics in the Celtic Nations. Continue Reading →

The Richmond By Election

In the grand scheme of things, the Richmond by election caused by Zac Goldsmith resigning from Parliament in protest over the Government’s decision to back a third runway at Heathrow is pretty much a non event as far as any significance is concerned. It will change nothing, it will not change the Heathrow decision nor will it overturn Brexit.

As for the LibDems winning it, not really a surprise, if they couldn’t win in Richmond where 70% supported Remain, they wouldn’t be able to win anywhere, all they have won is a consolation prize of no great significance. Continue Reading →

Politicians Talking Crap

Whilst it might seem unfair to pick upon the Labour Leadership contest as that political party sets out to implode, it is never the less fair game because one of the candidates, Owen Smith seeks to claim that the “Tories are privatising the NHS”. Whilst one can understand that this is a shibboleth specifically designed to appeal to Labour Party members against a background where his chances of winning the leadership seem rather slim, as a statement it is both a lie and an insult to the intelligence of the public at large.

However it is not the “lie” that is important in this case but rather what that lie says about the state of mind of us the electorate and from that, how the language of politics needs to change radically in order that we as a Country can face the challenges of our immediate future. Continue Reading →

That Other Drama

Whilst we have all been focused on the post Brexit situation and the Tory Leadership contest which will deliver us a new and second female Prime Minister, that other drama of the Labour Party has rumbled on and is now reaching the inevitable stage of a direct leadership challenge to Jeremy Corbyn. Whilst in many ways it is just a sad little drama involving rather juvenile politics, as far as the British Body Politic is concerned, it does matter and the situation needs to be brought to a head and dealt with quickly. Continue Reading →

The Ids of March

There was rather a good article in the Telegraph by James Kirkup on the sudden resignation of Iain Duncan Smith, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/12198707/The-real-reason-Iain-Duncan-Smith-resigned-and-what-it-means-for-George-Osborne-and-David-Cameron.html

It is a good piece and of course the main question is “Just how damaging is it to the Government ?” Whilst that is an interesting question, but as this is no Geoffrey Howe moment with Margaret Thatcher, it may take quite a time before a clear answer is forthcoming. Sorry about the headline but it was irresistible with or without an ‘e’. Continue Reading →

The Problems of Leadership

Europe has always been divisive in both the main political parties but if anything, far more so for the Conservatives so it must be quite frustrating for experienced Labour politicians to see the “golden opportunity” of attacking the Tories going begging because of the Labour Party getting hung up on Trident because of Corbyn and his cronies.

The truth is that over 500 rebellions against your party whip whilst a backbench Labour MP, really isn’t the best training ground for becoming the Leader of that party. Continue Reading →

What to do About Corbyn…

As someone who is quite happy to see us have a Conservative Government, I am never the less fairly concerned with what has happened to the Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership because our system relies on having a strong Opposition and right now we haven’t got one.

For the majority of the Parliamentary Labour Party, Corbyn is a problem and therefore raises the question as to how they deal with the situation they find themselves in, just how do they deal with him ? However and as uncomfortable as this may be for them, looking at the broader picture, Corbyn is the best possible ‘event’ to revitalise British politics generally. Continue Reading →

A Predicament for Corbyn

On Sunday apart from attending the Remembrance Ceremony at the Cenotaph, Jeremy Corbyn got into a row over remarks made by Gen Sir Nicholas Houghton the Chief of the Defence Staff who said that he would be unhappy if there was a PM who had publicly stated that they would not use Britain’s nuclear deterrent.

This led to an interesting situation. On the one hand it is a fact that our armed forces do not involve themselves in politics and are subservient to the will of Parliament. However and on the other, Corbyn by his stance over nuclear weapons, historical though it may be, places the armed forces in a ridiculous position were he ever to become Prime Minister. Continue Reading →

The J Curve

I am grateful to Dr Martin Wright, History lecturer at Cardiff University for his article in the Telegraph following the election of Jeremy Corbyn to lead the Labour Party because I got to learn something new about a former Labour Leader I knew nothing about and foreshadows the Corbyn result. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11860651/The-lessons-of-history-for-Jeremy-Corbyn.html Continue Reading →

This Will Be Interesting

And there we have it, the new Labour Leader is indeed Jeremy Corbyn and what now follows over the next 6 months or so should be very interesting indeed. The real question is whether he will in the end follow in the footsteps of Alexis Tsipras and bow to the realities of life or, be instrumental in seeing the Labour Party as we have known it, dismantled and split asunder ?

Even for the Tories this is not all good news because without a viable threat from the opposite benches, their party discipline could also collapse given the continuing open wound of our relationship with the EU and a clutch of bone heads on their own Right wing. Continue Reading →